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Home»Analysis»HYPE’s path to $100 runs through Hyperliquid becoming crypto’s on-chain Wall Street platform
Analysis

HYPE’s path to $100 runs through Hyperliquid becoming crypto’s on-chain Wall Street platform

May 23, 2026No Comments6 Mins Read
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While major cryptocurrencies remain mired in a prolonged slump, the native token of the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid has surged to a record high.

Data from CryptoSlate showed that HYPE crossed $60 for the first time, reaching as high as $62. This marks a 120% year-to-date gain and propels its market capitalization above $15 billion.

This comes as DeFiLlama data shows that the total value locked on the platform surpassed $5 billion for the first time since October 2025. At the same time, its open interest reached a six-month high of nearly $10 billion.

Market observers noted that this breakout was driven by a fundamental structural shift, with Hyperliquid rapidly evolving from a niche decentralized finance application into the primary on-chain Wall Street platform in the cryptocurrency sector.

By aggressively collapsing traditional finance silos, which typically separate brokerage, exchange, and custody services across different entities, the network is creating a unified venue that captures a new class of institutional capital.

How HYPE defied the broader crypto market gravitational pull

HYPE’s milestone arrives amid a broadly pessimistic period for digital assets, with Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies struggling.

This is because the broader cryptocurrency sector has faced sustained downward pressure since September 2025.

To contextualize Hyperliquid’s divergence from the broader market, the total crypto market capitalization has declined by 36.5% during this period. Major assets have mirrored this slide, with Bitcoin falling 33.4%, Ethereum dropping 53.3%, and Solana shedding 65% of its value.

Crypto Market Performance
Crypto Market Performance (Source: Aletheia)

For months, the market traded in sync, with alternative cryptocurrencies taking heavier losses than Bitcoin.

According to cryptocurrency analyst Aletheia, Hyperliquid was among the worst performers until January 2026. However, a sudden shift in trend, catalyzed by strong spot exchange-traded fund flows and institutional partnerships, decoupled HYPE from its peers.

Moreover, HYPE’s rally has been further accelerated by market mechanics.

Blockchain analytics firm Santiment reported a severe spike in negative funding rates across exchanges, indicating a disproportionate number of traders opening short positions in anticipation of a price drop. Instead, HYPE continued to climb, triggering a classic short squeeze.

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Hyperliquid Open INterest
Hyperliquid Open Interest (Source: Santiment)

According to the firm, bearish traders were automatically forced to buy back their positions, adding upward pressure to the token.

Despite these liquidations, HYPE’s open interest, which measures the total value of active futures contracts, has remained elevated at $1.92 billion. Rather than collapsing after liquidation, open interest continued to rise as new buyers entered the market to replace liquidated short positions.

Institutional Validation and the ETF Catalyst

The primary catalyst supporting this sustained open interest is the introduction of traditional financial wrappers.

Earlier this month, asset managers including Bitwise and 21Shares launched exchange-traded funds tied to HYPE. These products allow traditional equity investors to gain exposure to the token without navigating decentralized exchanges or managing private keys.

The institutional uptake has been swift. Data from SoSoValue indicates these newly minted products are already managing $81.13 million in assets.

Hyperliquid ETFs Daily Flows
Hyperliquid ETFs Daily Flows Since Launch (Source: SoSoValue)

Bloomberg exchange-traded fund analyst Eric Balchunas noted that the suite of HYPE-related products recently saw trading volumes approach $100 million, jumping 42% since their mid-May launch.

Due to this strong demand, data from Velo indicates that over 40% of the token’s recent price gains occurred during US trading sessions.

HYPE Market Returns by Trading Sessions
HYPE Market Returns by Trading Sessions (Source: Velo)

However, this strong performance is occurring despite US residents being geofenced from trading directly on Hyperliquid.

Market experts have linked Hyperliquid’s appeal for institutional investors to its quantifiable fundamentals. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan said:

“Hyperliquid should be valued as a global super-app. Its addressable universe is not the $3 trillion crypto market, but the $600 trillion market for global assets.”

According to Hougan, Hyperliquid’s platform covers every asset class, and its tokens capture real value. He added that the trading venue is “an early, credible look at what crypto becomes when it’s allowed to grow up.”

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Hyperliquid’s expanding trading footprint

Hougan’s thesis about Hyperliquid is that the platform is becoming an all-encompassing financial app, as evidenced by its expanding asset offerings and underlying protocol upgrades.

The platform is pulling trading volume away from legacy markets by offering perpetual contracts on traditional commodities, pre-IPO equities, and outcome-based events in a single environment.

With ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, traditional commodity markets face weekend closures precisely when international news often breaks.

Traders have increasingly turned to Hyperliquid to hedge their positions, making gold, silver, and oil perpetuals a major segment of the exchange’s volume alongside native digital assets.

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Notably, open interest in this kind of trade has doubled over the last two months to a new all-time high of $2.6 billion.

Furthermore, the platform’s pre-IPO trading feature provides a distinct utility that shields cryptocurrency traders from digital asset downturns.

By offering exposure to private companies like SpaceX, Hyperliquid provides diversification previously reserved for accredited traditional finance investors.

Meanwhile, its recent expansion into prediction markets via the HIP-4 upgrade is also helping to boost the platform.

Research firm Delphi Digital highlights that HIP-4 completes the platform’s mission of collapsing brokerage, exchange, and custody into a single venue by introducing outcome contracts.

These binary options allow traders to express market views that standard perpetual futures cannot capture.

Historically, a trader taking a long position on Bitcoin ahead of a Consumer Price Index report could correctly predict the inflation data but still lose money if the market reacted unpredictably to the news.

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The HIP-4 upgrade allows traders to place capital directly on the event outcome itself, bypassing the secondary price reaction entirely.

Comic-style illustration of Hyperliquid as an on-chain Wall Street platform, with HYPE price hype and traditional finance observers in the crowd.

HYPE’s road to $100

Considering all of the above, HYPE’s latest record high has pushed the $100 target from a fringe wager into a central question for traders tracking Hyperliquid’s rally.

Polymarket data show traders assigning a 70% probability that HYPE reaches new highs around $66, a 62% chance that it breaks $70, and a 30% chance that it reaches $100 before year-end. The odds of a move to $100 have doubled in the past week, reflecting how quickly sentiment has shifted.

For that trade to hold, several drivers need to work together. ETF demand must continue bringing in buyers beyond Hyperliquid’s native user base. Futures positioning must avoid becoming too crowded. Platform volume must stay high enough to generate fees. Total value locked, stablecoin balances, and open interest must remain strong enough to support the view that more capital is settling inside the venue.

Still, market analysts believe HYPE’s current momentum could sustain its uptrend.

Shaunda Devens, a research analyst at Blockworks Research, said the speed of the move reflects an imbalance between aggressive buyers and a seller base that had already spent months distributing tokens in the prior range.

In that environment, higher prices can become self-reinforcing. Existing holders feel less pressure to sell as the market validates their position. Sidelined buyers feel more pressure to enter as the price moves away from them. That dynamic can push prices higher even as valuation multiples expand.

However, the risk is that the same reflexive setup can unwind quickly. If ETF demand cools, if open interest becomes too crowded, or if long-term holders begin taking profit, the market could lose some of the pressure that has driven the breakout.

Cryptos Hyperliquid HYPEs OnChain Path Platform Runs Street Wall
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