Solana (SOL) price is witnessing renewed selling pressure as technical indicators hint at a potential 15% price correction. After weeks of strong gains, the momentum appears to be fading, with traders closely watching key support zones to determine the next move. On-chain data shows declining network activity and reduced whale accumulation, fueling short-term bearish sentiment. As the broader market consolidates, investors are now asking—will Solana rebound from this dip or extend its downward trajectory in the coming days?
Massive Divergence Between SOL TVL & Active Address
Solana has been one of the most popular altcoins after Ethereum in the recent past, after a historic recovery from a single-digit figure. Moreover, the rally, which triggered the price from a consolidated zone in Q4 2024, attracted massive attention from the traders. Unfortunately, this attention has dropped heavily, which could drag the rally towards the recently tested lows. The chart below from DefiLama shows a significant divergence between the TVL and Active addresses, which is not conducive to a healthy SOL price rally.
On-chain data reveals a clear divergence in Solana’s network activity. While the Total Value Locked (TVL) has surged from around $6 billion to over $12 billion since early 2025, active addresses have dropped sharply from nearly 9 million to around 2–3 million. This indicates that network participation is narrowing, with capital becoming concentrated among larger players and DeFi protocols rather than retail users. Such divergence often precedes short-term weakness, suggesting that Solana could face a 10–15% correction if user engagement fails to recover despite rising on-chain value.
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SOL Price Analysis: Will it Drop to $150 or Rise to $220?
The Solana price has been maintaining a strong ascending trend for over the past few months, holding the rising ascending support. Unfortunately, the latest pullback broke the support and marked an intraday low below $170. Although the bulls initiated a recovery, the fear of a pullback continues to hover over the SOL price rally. Therefore, the token is believed to plunge back to the recent lows in the next few days.
Solana (SOL) is trading near $192 after breaking below its ascending trendline, indicating fading bullish momentum. The 20-day EMA ($186.8) now acts as immediate support, while the 50-day EMA ($199.4) and 200-day EMA ($208.7) serve as strong resistance zones. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) at 0.11 signals mild buying pressure but not enough to confirm a reversal. The formation of a rising wedge breakdown suggests a potential decline toward $172–$165, unless SOL reclaims $200, which could invalidate the bearish setup.
FAQs
SOL’s price is down due to a break below a key support level, declining active addresses, and bearish technical indicators pointing to a potential correction.
Technical analysis suggests a potential drop toward the $165-$172 support zone if it fails to reclaim the $200 resistance level in the short term.
While a correction to $165 is possible, reclaiming $200 could invalidate the bearish setup. The long-term trend’s health depends on a recovery in user activity.
With bearish signals and declining network activity, caution is advised. Monitor if SOL can hold the $186 support or reclaim $200 for a stronger bullish signal.