Key Takeaways
Why does a VC believe Lee’s bullish projection is ‘retarted’?
Andrew Kang argued that the tokenized market has already exploded 1000x, but hasn’t boosted ETH
Will ETH drop to $1K per Kang’s projection?
The future is hard to predict. But a crucial ETH support and realized price for accumulation addresses was at $2.8K.
A VC partner has projected that the Ethereum [ETH] price could remain range-bound between $1K-$4K for an extended period, discrediting Fundstrat CIO Tom Lee’s bullish thesis and $60K price target.
In an X (formerly Twitter) post on the 24th of September, Andrew Kang, a partner at Mechanism Capital, called Lee’s projection ‘retarded.’
He downplayed Lee’s positive ETH outlook based on tokenization and stablecoin narratives.
He added that the tokenized market has grown, 1000x since 2020, but daily transaction fees on Ethereum have remained at a five-year low.
“Tom’s argument fundamentally misunderstands how value accrual works and may lead you to believe that fees would scale proportionally, but in fact, they are practically at the same level of 2020.”
Source: X
Banks won’t buy ETH, says Kang
Kang added that large banks and institutions haven’t bought ETH and won’t make a bid in the future, as Lee expects. He drew parallels with oil, adding that banks only ‘pay for it when they need it.’
For the unfamiliar, crypto treasury firms led by Lee’s BitMine have accumulated $21 billion worth of the ETH, partly driven by the expected stablecoin and tokenization boom.
In fact, this new demand line lifted ETH from $1.5K to nearly $5K in 2025, about a 200% rally. Hence, more demand from such institutions could boost the ecosystem.
But Kang was right on one thing – other blockchains will capture the tokenization boom. In fact, the growing competition from stablecoin-focused chains with more distribution channels could eat into ETH’s market share.
Even so, it may be too early for the bearish bet for ETH. In fact, earlier in the year, Kang projected that ETH could slip below $1K; instead, the altcoin rallied 3x.
That said, ETH accumulation addresses have hit a record high of 27.3 million ETH. Coupled with a looming supply crunch, the backdrop could be positive for ETH. This could raise the odds for a $5K price target.
Source: CryptoQuant
However, in the case of an extreme bearish scenario as projected by Kang, the key support to watch would be $2.8K.
It doubled as the realized price for accumulation addresses and stopped the H1 2025 pullback.
Source: CryptoQuant