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Home»Analysis»Can the Token Reclaim $1?
Analysis

Can the Token Reclaim $1?

January 24, 2026No Comments4 Mins Read
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Amid the chaos and volatility of popular tokens like Bitcoin, XRP, and memecoins, here is an altcoin building a stronger base. SEI, built by combining the network effects of Ethereum and Solana, is set to outperform all major cryptos in the coming days. The ecosystem is getting upgraded, as the on-chain data suggests a steady growth in user participation. Put together, the SEI price could be the next big thing in the crypto space as it is approaching the edge of the consolidation. 

What’s Happening Within the Sei Ecosystem?

Sei is entering an high impact transition phase where the tech roadmap and liquidity flows have grabbed more attention. The ecosystem aims to simplify the building and improve the performance, which may attract short-term friction. Here’s what’s happening within the Sei ecosystem that may impact the price in the near term. 

  • Sei is pivoting toward an EVM-only chain (SIP-3 / “Giga” direction): staking via EVM first, then inbound IBC transfers get disabled, followed by a broader IBC wind-down.
  • The IBC shutdown forces a liquidity/migration moment: users holding Cosmos-native assets on Sei (often cited: USDC.n) are being pushed to migrate to native USDC ahead of the cutoff window.
  • Narrative shift: Sei is positioned as a performance-first EVM L1 (simpler stack, faster execution), instead of a dual Cosmos+EVM identity.
  • Infra/tooling push: ecosystem messaging is emphasising stronger RPC + dev tooling + wallet onboarding (bigger “plug-and-play” stack for EVM builders).

Sei is in a transition-heavy phase where the story isn’t just “new upgrades,” but how liquidity behaves during the shift. On-chain, the network is still relatively small but active: Sei has ~$128.22M in TVL, ~$67.11M in stablecoins (down 6.12% over 7 days), and ~$2.07M in net inflows over the last 24 hours. Trading activity is notable too—DEX volume is ~$21.59M (24h) and ~$141.31M (7d) (up 25.98% WoW), while perps volume is ~$19.33M (24h) and ~$134.39M (7d) (down 1.84% WoW). On the monetisation side, Sei is seeing ~$13,832 in app fees (24h) versus ~$311 in chain fees (24h)—a split that’s useful for judging where real usage is showing up. 

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SEI Price Prediction: Will it Reach $1 in 2026?

SEI gained immense popularity in the first few days of its trade, when the price reached the highs above $1.14. Since then, the rally has been forming consecutive lower highs and lows as the bears have been dominating. However, the bearish influence over the token could ease in the coming days, as the rally is approaching the edge of the consolidation. 

SEI’s weekly chart shows a market that has been compressing for months as price trends lower within a broad descending structure. After a strong 2024 expansion, momentum has steadily faded, pushing SEI back toward long-term support near the $0.10–$0.12 region. This zone now sits at the intersection of historical demand and a falling trendline, making it a critical area where the next medium-term directional move is likely to be decided.

sei price

Technically, SEI remains below a long-term descending resistance, with repeated failures near the $0.35–$0.40 supply zone confirming seller control. Price is currently hugging trendline support, while RSI stays weak near the low 30s, suggesting bearish momentum but also growing downside exhaustion. MACD remains negative, though selling pressure is slowing. A sustained bounce from this base could trigger a relief rally toward resistance, while a clean breakdown would expose new cycle lows.

Will the SEI Price Reach $1 in 2026?

SEI reaching $1 in 2026 is possible, but it’s not the base case from this chart. Price is still in a long-term downtrend and sitting near support, so the first job is to reclaim and hold the $0.35–$0.40 supply zone. For a $1 run, SEI likely needs a clean trend reversal, rising liquidity (stablecoins), and sustained app usage, plus a supportive broader market. If the rally fails at resistance, $1 stays a stretch target.

See also  Bitcoin sees $771M in whale withdrawals - Why BTC could reclaim $84K
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