Over the years, a number of indicators have emerged that have helped to pinpoint the Bitcoin price top for each bull cycle. These have become quite popular due to their success rates during this time. As such, the Coinglass website collates all of these to form a progress chart that could tell when the Bitcoin price is nearing its peak. This progress chart is barely halfway gone, but the Bitcoin price is seeing major crashes, so what’s going on?
Bull Market Peak Indicators Remain Untriggered
A total of 30 Bitcoin bull market peak indicators are being tracked on the Coinglass website, and so far, not a single one has been triggered. This means that none of these 30 indicators point to the Bitcoin price already reaching its peak. This suggests that there is still more runway for the digital asset before it hits the cycle peak and begins the next decline into the bear market; thus, the tracker remains firmly in “Hold” territory.
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For example, the Bitcoin Dominance indicator is very high, sitting at 92.76%, very close to being triggered, but remains untouched. This comes while the Bitcoin dominance over the rest of the altcoin market remains high above 60%, but still below the 65% score required for the indicator to be triggered..
Another major indicator is the Bitcoin long-term holder supply, which tracks the rate at which long-term holders are dumping BTC. This indicator is often triggered when long-term holder supply falls below 13.5 million BTC, but at the time of this report, it is still sitting above 15 million BTC.
Short-term holder supply is another indicator that also remains relatively low at this point. For this indicator to be triggered, the short-term holder supply needs to rise above 30% of the supply. However, it is sitting at less than 25%, suggesting that Bitcoin long-term holders are still dominating the market.
Sell-Offs Are Dominating Bitcoin
While the Bitcoin peak indicators remain untriggered and point toward a time to hold, it has not stopped the massive sell-offs that have been rocking the cryptocurrency. Over the last few weeks, reports have emerged of early Bitcoin whales dumping billions of dollars of BTC on the market.
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Bitcoinist reported that between October and November, two early Bitcoin whales had sold more than $1.7 billion worth of BTC in a matter of weeks. These sell-offs had added to the initial bearish pressure that pushed the Bitcoin price down toward $100,000. Then, earlier this week, reports emerged of another OG whale who dumped 10,000 BTC, worth over $1 billion on the market.
Given these, it seems that Bitcoin is not waiting for the cycle peak indicators to trigger before rallying. The whales are already pushing what looks to be a premature bear market with the massive sell-offs.
Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com