XRP’s price pullback deepened this week, but a high-timeframe technical view keeps some traders hopeful. Based on reports from analyst Egrag Crypto, the monthly chart remains above the key 21-EMA, and that is being treated as the main guide for the coin’s long-term direction.
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Monthly Chart Holds The Stronger Signal
According to Egrag’s multi-timeframe review, seven key charts were checked and six trade below the 21-day Exponential Moving Average. The weaker frames include the four-hour, one-day, three-day, five-day, one-week, and two-week charts.
XRP is trading at $2.18, up 8.5% over the last 24 hours, but shed a measly 0.8% on the weekly frame. That short-term fall explains the current mood among traders.
Big Upside Targets On The Table
Reports have disclosed that the analyst’s longer-term model keeps XRP inside a rising channel on the monthly chart.
The model points to a target band between $9 and $13, and the analyst gives this outcome a 55–65% probability within three to six months if the monthly candle holds above its support.
#XRP – The Chasm ( $13) – 7 Time Frames ( 🧵1/8):
There is 1 Signal Matters Most. Right now, 6 time frames are bearish below the 21 EMA:
4H ⬇️
1D ⬇️
3D ⬇️
5D ⬇️
1W ⬇️
2W⬇️
But there’s 1 KING timeframe still bullish:
1M (Monthly) ⬆️ Above the 21 EMAGeneral Note: In TA,… pic.twitter.com/788Mk5u5Ng
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) December 1, 2025
From today’s price, reaching $9 would require roughly an over 4x rise, while $13 would mean close to 7-fold jump. Those are large moves and would likely need strong momentum to happen quickly.
Other Analysts Offer Lower Near-Term Estimates
Other analysts recently projected a $4 price in about four months or by the end of 2026, citing Ripple’s plan to launch RLUSD in Japan by Q1 2026 as one possible driver.
Based on reports, spot XRP ETFs have bought over $756 million worth of the token in the weeks after their launch, a flow that some see as support for future gains.
Escrow Release Draws Attention
Meanwhile, on-chain data shows Ripple’s escrow unlocked 1 billion XRP for December in two equal transactions of 500 million each.
The first transfer went to the Ripple (9) address on Tuesday. At the time of reporting, the Ripple (9) wallet held 500,000,204 XRP from that release.
One of the 500 million batches was valued at about $1.08 billion at the moment it moved. These monthly unlocks are routine, but they are watched closely by markets because of the extra supply that can enter circulation.
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What Traders Should Watch Next
Short-term charts remain under pressure, and momentum indicators on lower timeframes are weak. Yet higher-timeframe momentum can shift quickly when buyers step in, and a single monthly close below or above the 21-EMA would change how analysts read the situation.
Based on reports, holders who follow the monthly structure are being urged to stay patient, while others warn that short-term selling could extend before any sustained recovery.
Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView