The phenomenal +150% run that saw Ethereum dramatically outperform Bitcoin has officially hit the brakes. After fueling the recent altcoin mini-season, the crucial ratio has stalled out completely, exhibiting 40 days of stagnation. With the main engine of the altcoin market now idling, the initial euphoria is fading, raising serious concerns about the stability and short-term future of nearly every asset outside of BTC.
Is Ethereum Entering A Healthy Accumulation Phase?
The powerful momentum behind altcoins has evaporated following the stagnation of the ETH/BTC ratio. A full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades has highlighted that after a monumental +150% run from its low against Bitcoin, ETH performance has completely stalled for the last 40 days. This pause immediately translates into palpable weakness across the board, with momentum-driven sentiment turning sour quickly as most altcoins start to retrace what they gained in the months prior.
While altcoin traders prefer to see their tokens rally, the analyst views the current shift as a necessary and potentially healthy correction. He suggests that it’s beneficial that BTC is absorbing some of the bid and liquidity again as it works to pull the entire market out of its current slump consolidation.
Daan Crypto Trades identifies the ETH/BTC ratio as being in “no man’s land” currently, adding that he would only regain interest in the pair if it moved back above the 0.041 level or a decisive retest of the 0.032 level.
However, the expert concluded that whatever ETH does against BTC will remain the primary barometer for the overall health of the altcoin market and the BTC Dominance trend. Therefore, this key pair should be monitored closely.
Reversal Signals Strengthen On The 4-Hour Chart
Technical analyst GeoMetric is calling the end of the market slump, basing his bullish forecast on clear signals from his proprietary Gaussian Breakout screener. According to GeoMetric, BTC, ETH, and most Altcoins have all successfully broken out of their Gaussian channels on the 4H chart. The expert views this as a firm confirmation of a reversal, provided these assets can maintain their position above the mid-line of the channel.
GeoMetric noted that BTC has flipped bullish on almost every major time frame except for the 3-day chart, which is the last holdout. Also, he has expressed his focus on the time frame for now. While considering this as a relief and great start to October overall, the market has finally turned the corner after a difficult week, characterized by liquidations, widespread capitulation, and generally terrible sentiment.
He acknowledges the difficulty of maintaining a positive outlook when the market is collapsing. “As convinced as I was, it’s never easy bull posting amidst the FUD and asking everyone to hold the line, and it takes a lot out of me,” GeoMetric stated.