Vibhu Norby, CEO of DRiP, suggested in a recent lecture that blockchain technology reduces speculation due to its transparency and rapid information flow.
Addressing an audience at Solana Breakpoint, Norby used a simple prop, a bag with a purple wig, to illustrate how knowing what’s inside rules out speculation.
He compared this transparency to blockchain technology, where all participants have access to the same information.
“A blockchain is a system where everyone always knows all the information. It is very difficult to claim that there is no speculation, because anyone can speculate about anything at any time.”
Vibhu Norby
Norby pointed out that speculation arises when people do not fully understand a situation. In traditional markets, investors often guess the value of assets based on incomplete information.
However, blockchain works differently: by making every transaction visible in a ledger, the need for speculation is limited.
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Speculation about blockchain
To further his point, Norby delved deeper into the concept of lending in blockchain and DeFi.
In traditional lending, loans are often based on credit and opaque valuations, leaving room for speculation. On-chain lending, on the other hand, requires full collateral – meaning the loan is fully backed by the asset’s value, which is publicly visible and verifiable.
This, Norby argued, makes it much less speculative.
While the rapid rise and fall of token prices may seem speculative, Norby explained that this is simply the market quickly discovering the true value of tokens. He suggested that faster blockchains like Solana (SOL) reduce speculation even further by enabling near-instant price discovery.
According to Norby, many tokens lose value quickly because the market immediately identifies their lack of underlying value. While speculation can never be completely eliminated, Norby believes that the transparency and speed of blockchain make it inherently anti-speculative.