- Bitcoin struggled to stay above $60,000, with some analysts predicting a potential rally to $68,000.
- Whale trades and a possible “golden cross” were positive signals for Bitcoin’s short-term performance.
Bitcoin [BTC] has had trouble maintaining a rally above $60,000 despite brief periods of trading above it last week.
At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency was trading at $58,947, marking a modest increase of 2.1% in the past 24 hours.
The current market volatility has prevented Bitcoin from making a significant upward move, and the asset has now dipped below the critical $60,000 level.
However, despite this recent performance, some analysts remain bullish on Bitcoin potential for a rally in the coming weeks.
Upturn amid market uncertainty?
Captain Faibik, a well-known crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), recently shared his optimism prospects for Bitcoin, indicating that the asset is still poised for a significant rally. According to Faibik
“BTC is still moving within a bullish flag pattern. It could test the $54k support area again, and it is crucial for the bulls to defend this level. If Bitcoin recovers from the $54,000 support, it could rise to $68,000 in September.”
For context, a bullish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that appears after a strong price move, typically characterized by a short consolidation or pullback phase that forms a rectangular shape similar to a flag.
Source: Captain Faibik/X
This pattern suggests that the asset could resume its uptrend once it breaks out of the flag formation, potentially leading to a significant price increase.
Faibik’s analysis indicated that while Bitcoin may face short-term volatility, the overall trend could still be upward, especially if the $54,000 support level holds.
Another positive sentiment in the crypto community comes from Crypto Jelle, who highlighted the formation of a weekly golden cross on the Bitcoin chart.
Jelle noted,
“Bitcoin forms a weekly golden cross for the first time in its history. The 100-week MA crosses the 200-week MA this week. In traditional markets, these crossovers are considered a bullish sign; Will it also work for BTC?”
Specifically, a golden cross occurs when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average, which is typically seen as a strong indicator of an upcoming bullish trend.
Source: Crypto Jelle/X
The occurrence of a golden cross on the weekly time frame for Bitcoin is seen as a potentially significant event that could signal further upward momentum.
Bitcoin’s Growing Whaling Activity
In addition to technical indicators, Bitcoin’s fundamentals also suggested a positive outlook. Facts from IntoTheBlock revealed a notable increase in whale transactions – exceeding $100,000 – in the past week.
Source: IntoTheBlock
Specifically, these transactions have increased from less than 13,000 last week to approximately 16,940 today.
This increase in the number of large transactions often indicates growing interest from institutional investors or wealthy individuals, which could lead to a further price increase.
Additionally, Bitcoin’s Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio, which is used to assess the asset’s valuation relative to its transaction activity, stood at 27.63 at the time of writing, according to facts from CryptoQuant.
Source: CryptoQuant
Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price forecast 2024–2025
The NVT ratio is often compared to the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio in traditional markets, where a lower NVT ratio could indicate that Bitcoin is undervalued, while a higher ratio could indicate that Bitcoin is overvalued.
With the NVT ratio of 27.63 at the time of writing, Bitcoin’s valuation appeared to be within a reasonable range, potentially supporting further growth if transaction activity continues to increase.
