Bitcoin briefly fell below $56,000 on August 15 before marking a slight recovery above $57,000 amid heavy volatility ahead of the expiration of a large number of options contracts.
The impending decline could lead to significant volatility, with traders keeping a close eye on whether the crucial support level will hold. Over the past 12 hours, Bitcoin has hovered around $56,000, a level that has been tested repeatedly but has managed to hold so far.
This support has become a key point for traders as more than $1.4 billion worth of Bitcoin options are set to expire at 08:00 UTC. The outcome of this expiration date could provide the basis for Bitcoin’s price direction in the coming days.
At the time of writing, BTC was down 2.2% over the past 24 hours, trading at $57,620, based on CryptoSlate data.
Increased volatility
Historically, options expirations have been associated with increased volatility in the crypto market, and this event appears to be no different. The ‘max pain point’ – the price at which most options contracts would expire worthless – is $60,000.
With Bitcoin currently trading below this threshold, there is increasing pressure on the market as bears and bulls battle for control.
Market sentiment was mixed leading up to this expiration. After briefly regaining strength earlier this week, Bitcoin’s price fell more than 4.5% in the past 24 hours before the small recovery, suggesting bearish forces are gaining the upper hand.
Some analysts warn that a break below $56,000 could lead to further declines, potentially pushing the flagship crypto into a deeper correction.
Institutional sentiment
However, not all indicators point to a bearish outcome. Although institutional sentiment has wavered recently, things could turn in Bitcoin’s favor. Data from Farside Investors showed a turnaround in ETF inflows, with net outflows of over $81 million on August 14.
This shift has raised concerns that institutional investors are hedging against potential downside risks. Still, favorable macroeconomic conditions – especially a lower-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) – could revive demand for Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation.
With the options expiring in a few hours, the market remains on high alert. Traders and investors are bracing for potential turbulence, with many expecting the outcome of this expiration date could impact Bitcoin’s trajectory for the rest of the month.
Bitcoin Market Data
At the time of printing 12:46 UTC on August 16, 2024Bitcoin is number 1 in terms of market capitalization and so is its price down 1.97% in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $1.14 trillion with a 24-hour trading volume of $35.59 billion. Learn more about Bitcoin ›
Summary of the crypto market
At the time of printing 12:46 UTC on August 16, 2024the total crypto market is valued at € $2.04 trillion with a 24-hour volume of $74.89 billion. Bitcoin’s dominance currently stands at 55.72%. Learn more about the crypto market ›