The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization Bitcoin has surpassed $93,000, fueled by newly-elected US President Donald Trump’s promise to ease crypto regulations. Meanwhile, this has sparked excitement on social media, putting the ambitious target of $100,000 in the spotlight. However, Santiment, an on-chain analytics platform, warns that this hype could lead to a short-term pullback for BTC.
Santiment, a leading market intelligence platform, noted that when Bitcoin reached an all-time high, social media was quickly flooded with price predictions of “$100K+ BTC” just hours after Bitcoin peaked, providing an interesting warning for traders.
According to Santiment’s analysis, social media activity often acts as a barometer for Bitcoin’s price movement. Historically, when social media activity increases with optimistic price predictions, it is a signal that retail investors are taking action.
Bitcoin’s incredible run has now peaked at a new all-time high of $93,490. The hype on social media platforms is very reliably reaching the top, with the biggest signal coming when $100,000+ BTC price speculation poured in at the ATH four hours ago.
Countertrade… pic.twitter.com/fqn0tVEL80
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 13, 2024
However, the recent excitement surrounding Bitcoin’s all-time high has created an atmosphere of “FOMO” (fear of missing out), with retail traders feeling pressured to buy in quickly. However, experienced traders tend to approach this type of market enthusiasm with caution, as intense social media hype can sometimes signal an impending price drop.
Counter trading in the crowd
Santiment suggests that successful traders often counter the sentiment of the crowd. When social media FOMO drives Bitcoin hype, experienced investors may see this as an opportunity to sell or pause on buying. This is because extreme optimism can sometimes lead to short-term corrections, allowing for a more favorable entry price after the hype has died down.
In contrast, when sentiment on social media is questionable, traders often see this as a buying opportunity, taking advantage of lower prices during phases of public uncertainty.
Warning flag during record-breaking run
While Bitcoin’s recent rally to new highs is exciting news, Santiment’s insights suggest caution may be wise. Social media hype can cloud objective decision-making, causing prices to rise to short-lived peaks.
For new and seasoned investors alike, Santiment’s recommendation to “trade with confidence against the crowd” serves as a reminder to assess the market calmly.
